With one round left to run at the 2025 National Finals Rodeo, the barrel racing world title is still mathematically open—but only three women have realistic paths to the gold buckle: Kassie Mowry, Tricia Aldridge and Brittany Pozzi Tonozzi. Here’s how Round 10 could shake out, and what each rider would need to walk out of Las Vegas as the 2025 WPRA World Champion.
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KASSIE MOWRY — THE ONE IN CONTROL
Current total after Round 9: $359,525.37
If she stays clean and holds the average lead: +$94,035.54
Projected total: $453,560.91
No one else can reach that number.
That’s why:
If Kassie keeps the barrels up in Round 10 and remains at the top of the average, she clinches the 2025 World Championship.
Even if Kassie slips slightly, the math still heavily favors her.
If she finishes 2nd in the average (adding $76,292.99), she lands at $435,818.36 — still unreachable unless someone behind her has a perfect night and she misses the round entirely.
HOW TRICIA ALDRIDGE CAN WIN THE WORLD
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Current total after Round 9: $297,262.44
Tricia’s path opens only if Kassie hits a barrel and loses her commanding average position.
If Kassie hits one barrel and drops to 4th in the average:
Kassie adds: $44,356.39
New Kassie total: $403,881.76
Now Tricia becomes the main spoiler.
Tricia’s necessary combination:
- Round 10 win: +$36,667.95
- 2nd in the average: +$76,292.99
- Total added: +$112,960.94
- Tricia’s new total: $410,223.38
That beats Kassie’s $403,881.76 by roughly $6,342.
For Tricia to reach 2nd in the average, she needs either Julie or Brittany to tip a barrel as well. That clears her path into the #2 spot and gives her the check she needs.
✔️ Bottom Line for Tricia
If Kassie knocks one barrel and Tricia wins Round 10 and climbs to second in the average, Tricia Aldridge becomes the 2025 WPRA World Champion.
HOW BRITTANY POZZI TONOZZI CAN WIN THE WORLD
Current total after Round 9: $270,954.40
Brittany can only win the world in a true chaos scenario.
Even her absolute maximum:
- Round win: +$36,667.95
- Average win: +$94,035.54
- Total added: +$130,703.49
- New Brittany total: $401,657.89
does not catch a Kassie who finishes 4th in the average at $403,881.76.
So for Brittany to win the world:
She needs both of these things to happen:
1. Kassie must fall completely out of average money
If Kassie ends Round 10 with no average check and no round money, she stays at $359,525.37.
2. Brittany must sweep the night
- Round 10 win: +$36,667.95
- Average win: +$94,035.54
- New Brittany total: $401,657.89
That surpasses Kassie’s stalled $359,525.37 by $42,132.
Bottom Line for Brittany
If both Kassie and Tricia hit barrels, and Brittany wins both the round and the average, Brittany Pozzi Tonozzi can mathematically steal the gold buckle.
This is unlikely — but absolutely possible on a wild Round 10 night.